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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

Created

Thu Jun 25 12:20:13 +0000 2020

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362

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46

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The tipping-point state here would be either Pennsylvania or Florida, where Biden is 7 points ahead. So, still a bit of an Electoral College - popular vote gap in Trump's favor. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Current polling averages National: Biden +9.5 MI: Biden +9.7 NV: Biden +8.7 WI: Biden +8.4 NH: Biden +8.2 PA: Biden +7.0 FL: Biden +7.0 AZ: Biden +4.9 NC: Biden +2.8 OH: Biden +2.5 GA: Biden +1.3 IA: Tie Reminder: a snapshot, not a forecast. https://t.co/wKbW02AGO5 https://t.co/NwMixddVec — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, ~all of Biden's gains relative to Clinton in the battlegrounds are because of white voters, both college and noncollege whites. Interesting in the context of the protests and Trump's attempts to appeal to white identity. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An outtake that I thought could be chart worthy, but decided against, is comparing our poll results among validated… https://t.co/Sh4J7peRkY

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated

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