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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Wed Jun 24 23:51:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @chrislhayes Yeah, it's the double whammy of having a little bit of population-level immunity (even 10% helps at the margin) and experience/caution that matters I think. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @chrislhayes Yeah. And to complicate things a bit further, some of the rest of the West Coast (WA/OR/HI) does have a fairly high R right now, but from a low baseline of prevalence, so cases are growing but the absolute numbers aren't high. So I'm not quite sure what category to put them in. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Unlike in some past periods, Trump's approval ratings have continued to gradually worsen rather than reverting to the mean. I'm a mean-reversion guy and am still expecting some mean reversion. But it hasn't happened yet. https://t.co/Vfmzd6B2ps https://t.co/0CGcgR7omH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 25, 2020 Hibernated