Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2020

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Wed Jun 24 23:34:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @chrislhayes Yeah, the comparison is complicated. But *within* the US, current spread is very well-explained by climate and seroprevalence and *not* super well explained by policy or political factors. e.g. California is having big issues right now despite having had a strict lockdown. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes I think the jury is out on how well "preventative lockdowns" work. You may just postpone problems and burn people out on lockdown measures. I think some of the lockdowns in the South/West also fell into the preventative category; many states had little spread in March/April. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @chrislhayes I don't think California overall is as bad as TX/FL/AZ right now, but Southern California may be. LA County had 2,300 new cases yesterday, which per capita is very similar to TX/FL. Northern California's doing fine, conversely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated