Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 17, 2020

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Wed Jun 24 15:02:21 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The way people are actually behaving re: lockdowns suggests something rather different than the polls. In fact, I think the thesis that "lockdowns are not politically sustainable" is looking pretty good. (I was pretty agnostic on this point, so not tooting my own horn, etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

There has been a fair amount of lightly informed punditry in recent months predicting that the country would rebel… https://t.co/PK0ddkr5ga

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It sometimes gets taken for granted that Republicans only get **5-10%** of the Black vote. You almost never see margins like that in American politics. Here's a great @ClareMalone piece on the history of the GOP's relationship with Black voters: — PolitiTweet.org

The GOP has wrestled with the morality of greater racial inclusion & its strategic benefits for decades. Time after… https://t.co/F5D39…

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course if you frame it as "economy vs. protect us from COVID", people will mostly say "protect us". But, virtually every dimension of people's lives has been disrupted (work, school, family, recreation, friendships) so that may not reflect the situation they face personally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated