Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 17, 2020

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Wed Jun 24 12:58:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while it's possible the protests will fade, or become less popular (they're currently fairly popular) I think it's less likely that Trump will be able to exploit them, somehow. Maybe a different politician could. But Trump is too clumsy and just isn't trusted on this stuff. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The protests are the least certain. I wouldn't know how to predict their dynamics. Will they still be ongoing in November? Maybe. Will they look the same as today? Maybe not. But voters give Trump TERRIBLE grades on race relations and REALLY dislike his response to the protests. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other dynamic re: COVID. To the extent people let their guard down, that's what can problems in the form of surges etc. Frankly, that's what seems to have happened now. You ignore it, and it forces itself into our lives again. So that makes it uniquely persistent as an issue. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 24, 2020 Hibernated