Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 15, 2020

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Mon Jun 22 03:10:11 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I would not be surprised if a lot of the early research on weather conflated temperature effects vs. indoor/outdoor effects. If you're comparing places in March, then people will be outdoors more often in warmer places. But that's not necessarily true in the summer. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's also interesting is that if you add temperature to this, higher temps are associated with lower spread (as most research predicts), controlling for other factors. So heat helps, but being outdoors helps, and you don't want it to be so hot that folks do everything inside. https://t.co/IQY3h8Dg24 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris Yeah I'm using https://t.co/LwOqS5Fl1c. Spread is higher in places where it's likely that more people are indoors. It's also higher in places that didn't get hit hard before (likely based on a combo of some people now having immunity and perhaps people being more careful). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2020 Hibernated