Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 15, 2020

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Sun Jun 21 22:34:06 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do think the decline in deaths is weirdly under-discussed, though. And although states are engaging in some degree of hand-waving arguments for why they aren't more locked down, the death rates are likely to be pretty important in what policies they adopt in the long run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

However, cases and the positive test rate are still up week over week, reflecting rises in many Southern and Western states. Today was a tiny bit better than the past few days, but as I said Sundays can be a bit slow, so probably not worth putting too much stock in that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is true, deaths may increase as cases increase. But if states have different (lower) expectations for what the IFR is going forward, that's liable to affect their policy choices. https://t.co/IDnISm4Zlb — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Of course deaths aren't declining everywhere, @NateSilver538. In the Southwest, which is experiencin… https://t.co/ab9dDd1U2V

Posted June 21, 2020 Hibernated