Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 15, 2020

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Fri Jun 19 23:49:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One faint, perhaps naive hope I have is that red-state governors will become aggressively pro-mask if they deduce that the other alternatives (re-lockdowns or lots of people getting COVID) are less palatable. — PolitiTweet.org

Here’s the problem: when you’re posting 3200 news cases a day *and rising* as in AZ, you can’t do contact tracing o… https://t.co/aGOR4Nv1YL

Posted June 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At least when NY/NJ/CT/MA/MI/LA were spiking in the spring, there was the hope/expectation that lockdowns would eventually slow things down. There's not really that to look forward to in places where cases are increasing now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, people keep effing up predictions about particular events having a discernible impact on virus spread. It's not because spread isn't happening at them (it probably is) but because of the scale. It's a big country with lots of COVID, so hard to see impact of any one thing. — PolitiTweet.org

It’s a mistake to frame the Trump rally as a virus bomb about to happen. There might very well be little or no evid… https://t.co/BLY0XfaDzN

Posted June 20, 2020 Hibernated