Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Tue Jun 16 14:10:03 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As in the case of our primary model, states with stale polling are updated based on the trend in national polls and in polls of similar states. Just trying to give folks a flavor for how all of this will work once we officially launch our averages (soon). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Updated polling averages: National: Biden +8.4* CO: Biden +16.3 ME: B +13.1 NM: B +12.9* MI: B +10.3* VA: B +10.1 NV: B +7.4 NH: B +7.2 WI: B +6.5 MN: B +6.1 FL: B +6.0* PA: B +4.4 AZ: B +4.2* NC: B +2.5 OH: B +2.2 GA: B +0.1 IA: Trump +1.0* TX: T +1.2 * State has new polling — PolitiTweet.org

National: Biden +7.6 CO: Biden +15.6 ME: Biden +12.4 VA: Biden +9.5 MI: Biden +8.2 NE-2: Biden +7.4 NH: Biden +6.6… https://t.co/t1bObHzdt5

Posted June 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some of these states are really lacking in polling, though. Minnesota and Maine have just one poll each. Nevada has just one poll since February. And not sure I buy the Michigan number for Biden. Polls always an adventure there. But also not a lot of high-quality polls in PA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2020 Hibernated