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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Sat Jun 13 23:34:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This feels like a little bit of a canary in the coal mine. Ernst has been considered a rising star; Iowa has trended red; she hasn't had any particular scandals or gotten in any particular trouble. If this race is competitive, the GOP is in a lot of trouble in a lot of places. — PolitiTweet.org

Mike Madrid @madrid_mike

Iowa Poll: Theresa Greenfield leads Joni Ernst in tight race for U.S. Senate https://t.co/sTKLEpl4yr via @DMRegister

Posted June 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The good news is that deaths remain well below their peak. It's not clear why that is: 1. Could be because deaths lag infections (i.e. they'll begin increasing later) 2. Could be that new cases are hitting mostly younger populations 3. Could be that better treatments are helping — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Seeing some threads about how a Clinton White House would have handled COVID-19. While the answer almost certainly has to be "better" given the low bar the actual White House set, it's also worth thinking about negative partisanship, i.e. how Republicans would react to Clinton. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2020 Hibernated