Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Fri Jun 12 12:51:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The two most overrated COVID terms right now are "spikes" and "second wave". We never really exited the first wave! And in particular, the places that are seeing big increases right now tend to be places that *didn't* get hit all that hard in March/April and maybe got complacent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Deaths below 1,000 on a mid-week day, which is good news (that didn't used to happen very often). But otherwise... not so great. It's really looking more like a plateau than a decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As for "spikes", the word means a sharp, dramatic increase. While those can happen, what's both more common AND the bigger concern IMO is sustained gradual increases. If cases increase by 10% per week for 6 weeks, well, there's never a spike, but you can have really big problems. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2020 Hibernated