Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Mon Jun 08 13:30:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

TBH, I don't have much idea right now what the public health community thinks our strategy is supposed to be. This is only partly due to the protests. Even before then it wasn't clear on which conditions they favored re-opening, even as ~all states/countries began to open anyway. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think you could probably get some new lockdowns if there are big, steep, sustained spikes. And to some extent, people will alter behavior on their own if they hear about friends, neighbors, etc. getting sick. But otherwise, it may be hard to build a consensus for them. — PolitiTweet.org

An interesting implication in here — the sense that “well, we can’t go back to lockdown now” may be boosting stocks… https://t.co/0lTu6ZTJI3

Posted June 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And, yes, there are individual members of the public health community who have smart, coherent plans. But the consensus collapsed a long time ago. Everyone agreed on locking down for 3-6 weeks as a first step (and it saved lives) but not really on what came after that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 8, 2020 Hibernated