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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's actually quite well in line with expert projections from April, etc. The media tends to focus on outlier projections that are either too high or too low. (Not unlike polls!) But the consensus of projections has done a rather good job. https://t.co/c28TxaCJeC — PolitiTweet.org

Improvement in some places, not others. But big picture: if you had said in April that nearly 1000 people EACH D… https://t.co/de9AWqoIr5

Posted June 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The usual caveats apply, though. There's a LOT of state to state variation, with clearer declines in the Northeast and the Midwest than in the South and the West. And these numbers are backward looking. We don't yet know much about the impact of Memorial Day, protests, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The numbers for the past couple of weeks have come in a pinch better (fewer deaths) than some of the models expected, which is good news, of course. But only slightly, and they've generally been well within each model's confidence interval. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 4, 2020 Hibernated