Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Sun May 31 14:51:31 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I have no idea how the politics of a "law and order" presidential campaign would play out amidst everything else going on in 2020, but it's worth noting that Trump receives VERY poor marks from the public for his handling of race relations. https://t.co/CTQenOhrRZ https://t.co/g5wl5XHGZ0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The good news, I guess, is that predictions of one-off events that would trigger spikes don't have a great track record. That is, the predicted spike sometimes never comes. But those are often fairly small, one-off events, whereas these protests may have wider scale. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note particularly that last poll, which shows 56% of people (including a plurality of whites) saying race relations have gotten worse since Trump became president vs. just 10% who say they've gotten better... and that was before George Floyd. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 31, 2020 Hibernated