Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Sat May 30 16:11:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of models try to infer the # of cases from the # of deaths and I wonder what this does to those. If we've gone from capturing only say 30% of actual COVID deaths in mid-March to 60-70% at the peak to 80-90% now, that could mess with your estimates of R and other parameters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, the actual peak of COVID-19 deaths may have been a bit earlier, higher and steeper than the official tally shows. A lot of deaths that happened early (before adequate testing) were missed. We're missing fewer deaths now that testing has improved. — PolitiTweet.org

How many more people died in your state than was expected? Most of the excess deaths across the country occurred in… https://t.co/RS7ZSo92M0

Posted May 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW: Apple's mobility trends data shows a very large increase in mobility (both driving and walking) in Minneapolis, but not really in other cities where there's protests and/or civil unrest. https://t.co/32iSFYgSGd https://t.co/QtVoRC24gt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 30, 2020 Hibernated