Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Fri May 29 14:14:14 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @foxjust I just think people need to self-monitor a lot better in the category of "quick-and-dirty interpretations of the data that doesn't match the consensus of the evidence but DOES match my priors". Like, those interpretations are going to be wrong some hugely high % of the time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias It stems from people not having their priors confirmed and grasping at straws. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki @mattyglesias @foxjust Right, and it's important to point out that official death count estimates are generally too low and the actual death tolls are probably something like 1.2x to 1.5x the reported figures depending on when and where you're looking at. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 29, 2020 Hibernated