Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 27 19:11:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Ehhh, I think they're relatively orthogonal. Like, if you take a relatively optimistic view on current trends, the implication of that could be "great, our strategy is working, let's keep it up!" *or* it could be "OK, we can afford to loosen our belts a little bit". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's true that the COVID data is a mess and it takes some work to figure out how to use it robustly. But people have to be careful not to attribute outcomes to bad/untrustworthy data every time their priors are disconfirmed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Conversely, if you take a pessimistic view, the implication could be "we need to go back to harsher lockdowns now" or it could be "this is hopeless so let's do Sweden". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2020 Hibernated