Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 27 13:58:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now that restaurants in these places are operating at ~50% capacity (not that restaurants themselves are so important, but using them as a proxy for broader activity) we'll see what the numbers look like in a couple of weeks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One way to look at this: until the past couple of weeks, sit-down restaurants in TX/GA/FL were operating at maybe 10-20% capacity and returning only 10-20% back to normal (with people being careful, using socially distanced seating, etc.) was never likely to cause a huge spike. — PolitiTweet.org

Fun chart from @TheStalwart's newsletter. We're almost a month into re-opening in Georgia / Texas / Florida, at wha… https://t.co/TQ1uytWYyK

Posted May 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Which is not to say you can't find fault with the critics. Trying to convince people that "reopening will cause huge spikes", when in practice re-opening was extremely modest and tentative, was a dumb and foreseeable mistake and set a low bar for success for these states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 27, 2020 Hibernated