Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Thu May 21 23:29:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump not exactly on the side of public opinion on mail voting. https://t.co/03bD5d5ygS https://t.co/roNOZPIr1D — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @COVID19Tracking I think there are a number of practical circumstances where calibrating off of the number of positives could meaningfully overestimate R. Though calibrating off the positive test rate may underestimate it in some of those cases, too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @COVID19Tracking Yeah, it's tricky. Ideally, we'd know more about who is getting tested. We built a toy model for some of this stuff here. I think clearly when there's a very rapid increase in testing (e.g. the US in March), you're better off looking at the + rate... https://t.co/VK7rCgBNMc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated