Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Thu May 21 22:16:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @COVID19Tracking Yeah, worth watching. I'm still a big fan of the positive test rate vs. the raw cases number. But, it feels much safer/nicer when everything is pointing down. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So this report looks OK. But keep in mind that if re-opening erodes the progress we're seeing, it probably WON'T be with a big spike, at least not at first. It might start with declines becoming plateaus, and plateaus becoming slight increases. So follow the numbers carefully. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @COVID19Tracking I think there are a number of practical circumstances where calibrating off of the number of positives could meaningfully overestimate R. Though calibrating off the positive test rate may underestimate it in some of those cases, too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated