Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Thu May 21 13:23:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Note though that while including antibody tests will artificially inflate the number of tests, it will *also* artificially inflate the number of *cases*, since antibodies are a sign of someone who once had the disease but is recovering and is probably no longer contagious. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

States shouldn't be mixing PCR/viral tests (tests of whether someone *currently* had the virus) with antibody tests (tests of whether they *previously* had it) in their data. That just makes it a lot harder to tell what's going on. Don't do this, states. https://t.co/RNfloQpmPI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's ambiguous what including antibody tests will do to the positive test RATE. Since they measure, more or less, whether you EVER had the disease, they may produce a *higher* positive % than viral tests, which measure if you CURRENTLY have it. See e.g.: https://t.co/1oSb5eV4XL https://t.co/6f16rh8mpp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2020 Hibernated