Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 20 23:23:43 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @CT_Bergstrom Cool, thank you! And the 7% rate in the study released today was for Stockholm County, not Stockholm proper? (Or do we know?) My priors (partly based on your model) had been that Swedes were being maybe 50% too optimistic in the estimates they were giving to the press. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @CT_Bergstrom If you buy their claim that it reflects the state of play as of early/mid April, what does your model say about the total number infected as of now in Stockholm? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@youyanggu @CT_Bergstrom Meaning like, 30% in Stockholm *city* as of 3 weeks ago? Nope, probably not. But 20-25% *now*? Maybe. https://t.co/jZpnej66NN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated