Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 20 21:57:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the numbers are coming in close to what the consensus of models projected a few weeks ago. (These are forecasts as of May 1.) So I'm not sure that the numbers are actually better than experts expected, so much as that there's a perception issue because of media framing. https://t.co/Y8ckCJ5RrN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, I was not a big fan of that media narrative. I thought it didn't do a great job of reflecting the actual range of expert opinion, the complicated, mixed signals in the data, or the fairly wide uncertainties in the outlook. https://t.co/BMgDwOb5jQ — PolitiTweet.org

Without more context and explanation, are we sure that the White House isn't just leaking these to make the actual,… https://t.co/fYYKgC1Khn

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @AlecMacGillis @SeanTrende It's normal for people to be scared/careful. It is also asking a lot of people to synthesize a lot of rapidly-evolving news seems to be in conflict. At the same time, I think there's a gap between what people think "the science says" and what the science actually says. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated