Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 20 21:39:48 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These numbers are good, but not great. The improvement is steady, but slow. They could take a turn for the worse later. But at this point, folks have to contend w/ the fact that the media narrative was very pessimistic a few weeks ago. That will affect how they're perceived. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And there continues to be slow, but meaningful improvement in the fatality numbers. An average of 1,304 deaths in the past 7 days, versus 1,584 in the week before that. The 7-day average peaked (so far; keep in mind there could be a second peak) at 2,070 in mid-April. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, I was not a big fan of that media narrative. I thought it didn't do a great job of reflecting the actual range of expert opinion, the complicated, mixed signals in the data, or the fairly wide uncertainties in the outlook. https://t.co/BMgDwOb5jQ — PolitiTweet.org

Without more context and explanation, are we sure that the White House isn't just leaking these to make the actual,… https://t.co/fYYKgC1Khn

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated