Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I could go on all day citing research that attempts to quantify these; suffice it to say that the magnitudes are disputed. But just as a stylized example, if you had 5 factors that each reduce transmission by 20%, then a wintertime R0 of 2.5 could equal a current Rt of 0.8. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, critiques of governmental responses to coronavirus don't do enough to account for the fact that there are a lot of unknowns surrounding the virus, and optimal policy is likely to be different when there are a lot of unknowns. — PolitiTweet.org