Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 20 17:30:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Take your pick from: - Weather - Masks/hygiene - Reduced susceptibility (i.e. some people had it and are now immune) - Improved testing/tracing/awareness - Still significant (though diminishing) social distancing — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Boring take: there could be a lot of little things that combine to reduce spread and which collectively have a fairly large impact, rather than there necessarily being a magic bullet. — PolitiTweet.org

Denmark's government disease research center (SSI): We've opened the economy. People aren't getting sick. We're v… https://t.co/FJpThfQwd0

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I could go on all day citing research that attempts to quantify these; suffice it to say that the magnitudes are disputed. But just as a stylized example, if you had 5 factors that each reduce transmission by 20%, then a wintertime R0 of 2.5 could equal a current Rt of 0.8. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated