Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 20 15:10:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some of these "the future of X post-pandemic" pieces are smart, but most would do well to clarify what future they're referring to. Is it one where there's still some heightened risk of COVID-19? Or, is it mostly the psychological and/or economic after-effects of *this* pandemic? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Subjectivity (which you want to avoid) vs. judgment (which all models require) is admittedly a fine line. But generally speaking, you should strongly prefer finding systematic rather than ad-hoc methods for handling "problematic" cases. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@nataliemj10 @gelliottmorris Yeah and also we never have enough data on presidential elections so throwing out most of the data we *do* have to focus only on the 3-5 most recent elections seems like a big mistake. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated