Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 20 14:09:42 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I remain convinced that by far the best macro strategy is to take an average of all polls, but weighting toward higher-quality polls, rather dismissing/ignoring individual polls because they don't meet some particular methodological standard (e.g. not weighting by education). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, the positive test rate continues to decline. Over the past 7 days, it has been 6.2%, roughly half what the 7-day trailing average was on May 1 (12.1%). That may partly reflect more widespread availability of testing in the general population but still a good sign. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I *do* think pollsters should weight by education and it's probably correct that failure to weight by education will cause a D bias. But, there are a lot of debatable practices, which can/will produce biases in both directions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 20, 2020 Hibernated