Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Tue May 19 21:32:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @SeanTrende @bwreed @guypbenson @RameshPonnuru I think part of the problem is people are conditioned to think about a NYC or Lombardy type explosion in cases when they see headlines about "spikes", etc., whereas populationwide exponential growth that fast may turn out only to occur under a particular set of circumstances. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @SeanTrende @guypbenson @RameshPonnuru I don't know, given that this is likely to continue to be the dominant news story for months (or years!), I think Georgia ought to cause a fair amount of self-reflection, because it was clear at the time some of the analysis was incautious and was risking a potential own-goal. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@asymmetricinfo @JamesSurowiecki @chrislhayes @SeanTrende @bwreed @guypbenson @RameshPonnuru It is colder, though (especially in March). And it's poorer. And undoubtedly there is a lot of stochasticity, especially in the early phases where there are varying numbers of early introductions from place to place and nobody is taking any precautions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2020 Hibernated