Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Sun May 17 19:22:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The point is: this is a long game. COVID-19 will be with us for a while. Maybe if we're very smart/lucky, it will have become less of a problem by the fall or by next spring. But those are optimistic scenarios. It could take years. So maintaining reader trust will be essential. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe those headlines will turn out to be true. There are lags, so let's definitely give it another week or two. But *so far* the evidence is mixed. And it's easy enough to see a path where those dramatic predictions/headlines backfire and wind up reducing support for distancing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths Today: 839 Yesterday: 1,286 One week ago (5/10): 979 Newly reported cases T: 21K Y: 25K 5/10: 22K Newly reported tests T: 422K Y: 357K 5/10: 274K Positive test rate T: 5% Y: 7% 5/10: 8% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated