Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Sun May 17 19:17:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One salient example is dramatic headlines and predictions put out around re-opening plans in states such as GA and TX a few weeks ago, which sometimes seemed written to bolster support for maintaining distancing or to scare these states into shape. https://t.co/gYHOWqOc1V — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But also, it's fairly common for attempts to influence behavior to backfire and sometimes to produce the opposite behavior from what was intended. Maybe I'll do a separate thread sometime this week with examples of this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe those headlines will turn out to be true. There are lags, so let's definitely give it another week or two. But *so far* the evidence is mixed. And it's easy enough to see a path where those dramatic predictions/headlines backfire and wind up reducing support for distancing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 17, 2020 Hibernated