Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Sat May 16 16:50:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner Even the strictest lockdowns keep grocery stores and pharmacies open, sometimes with restrictions with how many people from each household can visit per week. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you had to do it all over again, then having a very brief (~3 weeks) but very strict lockdown to crush the curve as much as possible (R=0.6 or 0.7), followed by a laxer, more sustainable lockdown (R=0.8 or 0.9), might be optimal public policy given political constraints. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner But yeah, you're pushing on a lot of frontiers were the cost-benefit isn't great in the long run. It's just potentially quite beneficial to get R down to 0.6 or 0.7 for a few weeks if you can find a way to swing it in the short run. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2020 Hibernated