Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Fri May 15 22:06:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, things could turn around, in either direction. When might we start to see the effect of re-openings in the data? Actually, it would probably be gradual. Re-openings began as early as Apr. 20 and will continue through May/June, and states do them in regions/stages. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This has become the new normal, for now. A slow decline in cases and deaths, a fairly steep increase in tests, and a fairly steep decline in the positive test rate. The degree to which you consider this good news or not will depend on your priors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Moreover, the re-openings are coming at a time when there are other, mostly helpful factors in play —Mask-wearing ↑ —Warmer weather may help —Testing and tracing ↑ —Susceptible population is a bit lower in some hard-hit cities/groups where decent #'s of people already had it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 15, 2020 Hibernated