Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 13 23:55:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara But those are truly large-scale events. I think people overestimate how easily you're going to see the signature of, say, 100 people not wearing masks at a state-capital protest in the data. Or a crowded day at the beach where people aren't being quite cautious enough. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara The evidence on Mardi Gras being a superspreading event seems pretty credible from what I understand. Maybe some European football matches where a lot of people traveled. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes @MattZeitlin Also, Europe doesn't seem to have had big increases since its partial, careful re-openings. I wish the conversation in the US were less about spikes and more along the lines of "need to get the total # of cases down first, because we may hit a *plateau* upon starting to reopen". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 14, 2020 Hibernated