Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 13 21:56:20 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @COVID19Tracking We will see. One thing that's plausible (since there seems to be around a 2-week lag between what the data is actually showing and the media narrative) is that it begins to sink in that the numbers are getting better at the same time they start getting worse again. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @COVID19Tracking I think that was a largely correct interpretation of the data 2-3 weeks ago. I think it's probably not correct now, though of course things could take a turn for the worse again. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @COVID19Tracking At the same time... mask wearing + weather + a bit more testing/tracing could plausibly outweigh losses from mildly reduced distancing. Also questions about heterogeneities in transmission rates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated