Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

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Wed May 13 17:59:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@willwilkinson "Rapidly" is doing a lot of work there. The evidence on the effects of a *gradual*, *cautious* reopening on transmission is a lot more uncertain, and that's in fact a better description of what most (indeed, almost all) states/countries are doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed, folks need to be much more careful with the "Get ready for cases to EXPLODE in [state/county]!" types of headlines They tend not to recognize that behavioral and regulatory changes are often incremental, and the data is noisy—and they have often turned out to be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Now it looks like Georgia (and Florida) are not seeing the promised wave of new cases or deaths. https://t.co/1qq8M3Fd1k 2/n

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JDVance1 @JeremyKonyndyk There's also difference between what public health folks actually say/think, and how the media characterizes the views of public health folks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated