Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Tue May 12 01:42:24 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved I do find that site interesting but I'm talking a bit more about various experts / commentators framing their own claims in forms that more closely resemble falsifiable predictions. Or at least saying things like "OK, here's what would convince me that I was wrong..." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probably impractical, but in theory it might be worth thinking about what claims about coronavirus (say, you think the seroprevalence is at least x% in California) could be framed in the form of testable predictions. The predictions could be conditional and/or probabilistic. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @geoffreyvs: Excellent article from @leedrutman on the vote-by-mail landscape and why mail ballots don't fundamentally advantage one par… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 12, 2020 Retweet Hibernated