Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2020

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Mon May 11 18:23:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If the positive test rate is falling, then we know AT LEAST one of two GOOD things is happening. Either infections are falling OR we've figured out how to do more widespread testing, or both. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

IDK but mostly I think news organizations should replace their charts on *raw confirmed case counts* with charts on the *positive test rate* and how it varies over time. That does create complications of its own, but it's a better first approximation IMO. https://t.co/tCd2vl8feU — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 is there a good apples-to-apples chart that you have seen that shows how the nation would be faring… https://t.co/9T5nMn6Fz6

Posted May 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Conversely, focusing on raw case counts will sometimes make GOOD news (more tests!) look like BAD news because quite often, an increase in detected cases reflects an increase in testing, even when the disease itself is steady/declining. That's a huge problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 11, 2020 Hibernated