Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2020

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Mon May 11 18:09:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Experts estimate that only something like 1 in 10 coronavirus *infections* are turning into confirmed *cases* in the US. So long as that's the case, the number of confirmed cases is going to be very sensitive to how much testing we're doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's misleading b/c testing has roughly doubled over the past month in non-NY states and if you do 2x more testing, you'll find a lot more cases. It's true that the numbers have turned around in NY, but the story in other states may be more encouraging than the chart implies. — PolitiTweet.org

Gov. @NYGovCuomo continues to use this compelling graphic* -- which some, incl @NateSilver538, have called misleadi… https://t.co/hl0yRwMS37

Posted May 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

IDK but mostly I think news organizations should replace their charts on *raw confirmed case counts* with charts on the *positive test rate* and how it varies over time. That does create complications of its own, but it's a better first approximation IMO. https://t.co/tCd2vl8feU — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 is there a good apples-to-apples chart that you have seen that shows how the nation would be faring… https://t.co/9T5nMn6Fz6

Posted May 11, 2020 Hibernated