Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2020

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Sun May 10 04:33:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki @joshtpm @Austan_Goolsbee In the literature, there are several proposed reasons why IFRs might vary. Hospital capacity is an issue. There could be different strains. It's possible that viral load matters, so that harder-hit places where people are exposed to higher doses could produce more fatalities. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DeanBaker13 Fair enough but France and the UK were likely hit a bit harder, as were various countries (Sweden and the Netherlands) that we've done more testing than. And our positive test rate is now <10% which is in line with WHO recommendations. https://t.co/UyndYEZIUu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki @joshtpm @Austan_Goolsbee I don't really have the knowledge base to evaluate these theories, but it does seem empirically as though the IFR (even adjusted for age) may vary a fair amount from place to place and there are plausible reasons why that might be the case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2020 Hibernated