Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 26, 2020

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Sat May 09 20:03:59 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like people actually think they're being bold and contrarian by saying "well, Trump might win despite all this..." but it's the most boringly conventional position in the history of political punditry. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is kind of 180 degrees backward. Very few people are saying Trump can't win and in fact the conventional wisdom is much more confident about his chances than otherwise would be because of 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Most of the people who seem to feel quite sure Donald Trump can’t win in November were also completely confident he couldn’t win in 2016.

Posted May 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking: Newly reported deaths: Today: 1,529 Yesterday: 1,760 One week ago (5/2): 1,651 Newly reported cases: T: 25K Y: 28K 5/2: 30K Newly reported tests: T: 301K Y: 303K 5/2: 253K Positive test rate: T: 8% Y: 9% 5/2: 12% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 9, 2020 Hibernated