Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 26, 2020

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Thu May 07 19:22:26 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 Yeah, for sure. We're well past the point where we're going to get anything resembling a good (even under the circumstances) outcome. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 I think there are some in-between scenarios like: some states are able to contain it, and some aren't, and by the second half of the year, treatments don't work miracles but are able to reduce the fatality rate by 30-40%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another parallel between polling and coronavirus is that the outliers get more media coverage than the central trend. So it seems like we ping-pong between "OMG VACCINE IN 6 MOTNHS!?!" and "DEADLY MUTANT STRAIN TAKING OVER!" when neither describe the more likely, robust outcomes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated