Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Thu May 07 15:23:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing that might be hard to tease out from the data... but I wonder if the *tone* of messaging matters a lot. "Certain business are opening, but we'd urge you to be very cautious" could produce a different reaction than "Go wild and get that economy revving up, folks!". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Important... implementation and relaxation of formal stay-at-home orders is only loosely related to actual changes in behavior. People engaging in a bit more economic activity everywhere (maybe warm weather/social distancing fatigue) but not much more so in states to "open" up. — PolitiTweet.org

Nationscape @UCLA ⁦@DemocracyFund⁩ data informing likely trends in reopening: when will people do things again? ⁦… https://t.co/0vHXf0HIkx

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias The lags are a big issue, but a 9 week cycle is too long. Maybe 2-4 weeks, with states having more hope of coming in at the shorter end of the range if they're doing more testing (ideally either very widespread or random) and carefully monitoring hospital data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated