Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think Sweden's approach might be a disaster if applied in the US, but deaths and ICU cases have been *decreasing* in Sweden, especially in Stockholm, which tends to support the view that there's at least fairly robust short-term immunity. https://t.co/nUMhGfcfvU — PolitiTweet.org

25%-30% of Stockholm residents have antibodies to coronavirus, but we don't know if that confers immunity, or how m… https://t.co/XvjvIe3Gi8

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@PatrickRuffini The dynamics have become surprisingly similar to election polling, where the media narrative is only loosely correlated with the actual flow of data and usually lags it by 2 weeks. https://t.co/7CxfmiXPWZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are uncertainties around immunity especially in the long run but people's priors have been screwed up by bad media coverage and poor messaging. Here's a good overview that doesn't sugarcoat the messy details: https://t.co/VKIyTMK2Eu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2020 Hibernated