Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Wed May 06 21:37:29 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Have no idea if the improvement is sustainable. It may not be—especially if states relax restrictions. But a bit ironic we've had an optimistic 3-day period for new cases data (especially as a % of tests) at the same time the media narrative is about how new cases are exploding. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But the *non* New York numbers have also not been so bad over the past three days, with non-NY cases around ~20K per day (down from a peak of ~23K) and a positive test rate of 8-10% (down from a peak of ~16%). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One observation related to this: States that have seen clear declines in new cases tend *either* to have had either a LOT of cases early on (e.g. NY, LA) or very FEW cases (e.g. MT, HI). The states in the middle (e.g. MD/VA) aren't seeing much, if any, decline, conversely. — PolitiTweet.org

I agree with all the very smart expert plans that use a sustained decline in cases as one of the criteria for re-op… https://t.co/9Z6SNXLDc1

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated