Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Wed May 06 20:33:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some ways, if you DO have a sustained decline, it's *easier* to maintain support for distancing measures. First, morale is higher. Second, you can target specific goals, e.g. wait until cases are below X key threshold, and have reasonable confidence about meeting them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I agree with all the very smart expert plans that use a sustained decline in cases as one of the criteria for re-opening. But I wonder about how that's playing out in practice for decision-makers like governors as a matter of political psychology. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If cases are roughly flat, conversely, it may feel like you're in Groundhog Day and the endgame is less clear (at least until vaccines/herd immunity). So people may begin to say "well, we can't do this *forever*…" and want to relax restrictions at some arbitrary point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated