Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Wed May 06 14:57:18 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Moreover, within the category of things that are opening up, both polls and initial reporting suggest that many people will stay at home & decline to participate in them, and many of the people that do participate will take precautions, as will most of the businesses themselves. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

i.e. many states have plans such as: restaurants and personal care businesses can reopen, but schools stay closed and most businesses continue to encourage (or require) work from home. Parks may have been open all along & bans on small gatherings were hard to enforce all along. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So if 0 is a strict Wuhan or Italy-style lockdown and 100 is "oblivious pre-COVID life", we are not going from 0 to 100. We were never *at* 0, for one thing; many activities were still allowed under lockdown. So let's say we were at a 25. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 6, 2020 Hibernated