Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 21:27:08 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the other hand, the trend in the cases numbers is comparatively good, both on its own and (more importantly) as a share of tests. Today was the lowest positive test rate yet (8.6%), in fact, and we've been <10% for two days in a row. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Perhaps more troubling though than the daily spike is the fact that we had more deaths in the past 7 days (12,782) than in the 7 days before that (12,054). Although the period two weeks ago was slightly worse (14,405). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Having done this for a while now, I would say two days is too soon to jump to any conclusions. If you see something for four or five days in a row, or say 7 days out of 8, then maybe we can start revising our priors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated