Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 24, 2020

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Tue May 05 15:02:37 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Adjusting for testing volume, you likely get a slight overall decline outside of NYC. That's not great, because (i) it's only a slight decline; (ii) some areas *are* likely increasing; (iii) social distancing is relaxing. Still, that's a much more complete and accurate story. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This article literally doesn't mention how the amount of testing has increased by ~60% within in the past few weeks. That does make the situation particularly great, but it's context that can't be omitted in any discussion of cases increasing/decreasing. https://t.co/JUY0J4fFJc https://t.co/9H8M2qd8Xa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A lot of this news coverage winds up *punishing* states for doing more testing, because if you do more testing, you find more cases and therefore get worse headlines. So it's not just bad reporting; it creates poor incentives since we need more tests. https://t.co/VK7rCgBNMc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated