Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 22, 2020

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Tue May 05 14:07:03 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Can't believe the NYT made this their print headline. There is no evidence this is some sort of official White Hous… https://t.co/48hSfR9gz6 — PolitiTweet.org

NYT's scoop: "U.S. QUIETLY FEARS VIRUS'S DAILY TOLL WILL SOON DOUBLE." Trump's response: "I know nothing about it.… https://t.co/Ga2wHMEkp8

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@kmedved @No_Little_Plans @jaycaspiankang @canzhiye @PlusEVAnalytics There was also a lot of the COVID-will-completely-overwhelm-the-American-health-care-system takes at the time, with models that assumed essentially no social distancing and huge peaks into May/June still being treated as base-case scenarios. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, and keep in mind that the Apple data shows the *relative* change in movement. So let's say, ordinarily in Montana, you have 60 contacts with people per week and in NYC, you have 100. If you reduce them by 17% in Montana but 50% in NYC, you wind up with 50 in each place. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Might just be a non-linearity or interaction in the relationship? I could tell a story where decreas… https://t.co/j3HMpCIaWl

Posted May 5, 2020 Hibernated